
Finding luxury new construction in Sonoma County is hard. In addition to one of homes, there are currently three high end developments: RiverHouse, Mill District Healdsburg and Montage Healdsburg.

Healdsburg's median home price in the second quarter of 2026 was almost exactly what it was a year earlier, right around $1.16 million. Look no further than that number and you would conclude the market went nowhere. You would be wrong. Every single price tier in Healdsburg got more expensive over the past year. The only reason the headline median sat still is that the mix of what sold shifted, and you cannot see that unless you break the town apart by price point. This is the level of detail almost no one publishes: not just the county, not just the town, but what is actually happening inside each price band. And in Healdsburg this quarter, that is the whole story.

Zoom out to Sonoma County and the direction is clear. The market tightened over the past year. Countywide absorption, the share of listed homes that sell in a month and the cleanest read on whether buyers or sellers hold the cards, climbed from 27% to 33%. Active inventory fell about 11%, sales rose about 7%, and sellers now close at 99% of their original asking price, up from 97%. The countywide median reached $785,000 in June, up 3.3% year over year. The high end did the heavy lifting: sales over $3 million jumped more than 50% and absorption in that tier nearly doubled. This is the same three-market split we mapped across the county last year, and it is even sharper inside Healdsburg.
On the surface, Healdsburg is the coolest, most patient market in Sonoma County. Its overall absorption rate ran about 14% in the second quarter, against the county's 33%. Homes averaged 80 days on market, the longest of any submarket we track and well beyond the countywide 50. The typical Healdsburg seller netted about 91% of their original list price, compared with 99% countywide. Add the flat median and the easy narrative writes itself: Healdsburg stalled while the rest of the county heated up.

The part everyone misses: every tier rose
Break Healdsburg into its three price bands and the picture inverts. Each one got more expensive over the year:
So how does a town where every tier rose post a flat overall median? The answer is in what a median actually is. It is not the average of every sale price added together. It is the price of the one home sitting in the exact middle when you line up every sale from cheapest to most expensive. This year a larger share of the homes that sold were the more affordable ones: entry-level sales under $1 million grew from 39% of the town's closings to 46%. When more cheaper homes join that line, the home standing in the middle of it is a less expensive one than the year before, even though prices within every tier rose. The blended median held flat not because prices stalled, but because the mix of what sold shifted the middle of the line onto a cheaper home. Only a price-point breakdown recovers what really happened.

Now the interesting part is that the three tiers are not just rising, they are behaving completely differently.

The entry level is where Healdsburg comes alive. Absorption in the under-$1 million tier surged from 18% to 32%, a 78% jump, while sales rose 41% and inventory in that band fell about 20%. When something genuinely affordable comes to market in Healdsburg, which is rare, it moves fast and it draws a crowd. If you are shopping the bottom of the Healdsburg market, this is not the patient town the headline number suggests. Come prepared to compete.
The move-up middle is the quiet contrarian. Prices rose here more than in any other tier, up about 14%, yet this is simultaneously the slowest-moving band in town. Days on market stretched from 62 to 91, a 45% increase, inventory rose about 18%, and sellers gave up more ground off their asking price than any other segment. Read together, that says the homes that sell are the sharp, well-priced, move-in-ready ones, while everything else sits. For a buyer, that gap is leverage. In a county where sellers are increasingly in control, the $1 million to $3 million range in Healdsburg is one of the few places a patient buyer can still negotiate. For a seller in this range, the lesson is blunt: price to the recent comparable sales, not to last summer's optimism, because this tier punishes overpricing with months on the market.
The estate market is a paradox of its own. Inventory over $3 million is building, absorption sits around 5%, and these homes average more than 100 days on market, so on pace alone it is the slowest tier in the slowest town. Yet the sales that do close are setting records. Healdsburg's June estate median hit $7.85 million, up from $6.5 million a year earlier. Volume at this level is always thin, often just a couple of sales a month, so a single trophy closing swings the number. But the direction lines up exactly with the county, where luxury sales jumped more than 50%. Our read is that this is Bay Area money moving north. San Francisco has slipped back into a bidding frenzy, and when the city prices people out, Wine Country estates are where a lot of them look. We cannot prove that from the sales data alone, but the footprint fits, and it is worth understanding where the county's luxury buyers cluster before you shop the top of this market.
For buyers, the town breaks into three different games. The affordable end demands speed and competition. The $1 million to $3 million middle offers the most room to negotiate anywhere in the county. The estate tier has fewer bargains than a year ago, because the high end is moving again. For sellers, the message flips by tier: sub-$1 million sellers hold a strong hand, middle-tier sellers must price with discipline or watch their home sit, and estate sellers finally have a live pool of buyers after a slow 2025. And for anyone thinking about a move to Healdsburg, the single most important thing to know is that there is no such thing as the Healdsburg market. There are at least three, and the one you care about may be doing the opposite of what the headline says.
That is the difference between reading a market and understanding one. The top-line number for Sonoma County tells you the weather. The number for Healdsburg tells you the town. The number for your price point tells you what to actually do.
Have questions about where your price point stands in the current Healdsburg housing market? Email me directly at david@bruingtonhargreaves.com and I will walk you through the numbers for your budget and street.
David Hargreaves is the co-founder of BruingtonHargreaves, one of Sonoma County's top-ranked real estate teams and part of W Real Estate. Originally from the UK and an Oxford University graduate, David built and ran a digital marketing agency serving Google, Facebook, and other major brands before becoming one of Sonoma County's top agents within three years of entering real estate.
Today he and business partner Jonathan Bruington have sold more than $250 million in Sonoma County homes over the past three years, earning recognition as a RealTrends No. 2 team in the county and the No. 1 team in Healdsburg. David specialises in helping Bay Area buyers and sellers with luxury properties and vacation rentals across Healdsburg, Windsor, Santa Rosa, and the Russian River communities.
He lives in Sonoma County with his wife Nancy and is happiest cycling the back roads, exploring local wineries, or behind a camera. Have a question about buying, selling, or building in Wine Country? Book a free call.
and lumber mills. Today, it's emerged as what Travel & Leisure magazine recently dubbed
"The Jewel of California Wine Country." But what's driving this transformation, and why are so
many people choosing to make Healdsburg their home?
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